3 Takeaways from the Game of Flyers 3 Losing vs. Hurricanes – Hockey Writers – Philadelphia Flyers

An old saying in the NHL: you’re not in trouble in a playoff series until you lose on home ice. For the Philadelphia Flyers, that should bring some consolation after they dropped the first two games of their Eastern Conference semifinal series on the road against the Carolina Hurricanes.
But like most clichés, they are not 100 percent true. The Flyers have been in trouble since the beginning of this series, heavy underdogs on paper and open Game 1. A better performance in Game 2 restored some hope, only because of the series-ending injury of Noah Cates and the unavailability of Owen Tippett to keep the gap between them and the Hurricanes even wider than it could have been.
That gap reached breaking point Thursday night, as the Hurricanes moved within one win of a back-to-back sweep and a third Eastern Conference Finals appearance in four seasons. The first two goals of the third period allowed Carolina to pull away to a 4-1 victory, putting the Flyers on the brink of their first elimination in the tournament.
Fight to Finish
Just like in overtime in Game 2, the Flyers had a great first 15 minutes of the opening period of Game 3. Just like in overtime in Game 2, the only goal that came came off the back of the net.
The deja vu was very strong at the beginning, when Travis Konecny got the chance to correct his mistake when he escaped, and hit the post in a 1-on-1 with Frederik Andersen one minute into the game. Porter Martone did the same, bringing down the middle (like Konecny in Game 2, a nice feed from Trevor Zegras found him) a few minutes later.
Martone almost got an assist later, as his backhand feed to Alex Bump was read well by Andersen, who kicked the puck away. But the real gut punch came late, moments after Jordan Staal opened the scoring. Rasmus Ristolainen’s powerful header appeared to go in after Andersen’s shoulder, only for Jaccob Slavin to know he cleared it off the goal line.
Fortunately, the Flyers would strike early in the second half. With Carolina’s delayed penalty, Zegras capitalized on a chance to bury the double, his first tally since Game 3 of the first round. It was a great moment for the Flyers up man, something that would only get better as the night went on.
In the series, the Flyers shot just 4.5% (three goals on 74 shots), below their 10.32% rate from the first round and 11.49% mark in the regular season. The strange thing is that the Hurricanes beat the Flyers in a way that is almost the same as how teams usually beat them, the Canes can’t finish with chances due to the lack of players with high skills but not real players. Still, their lineup outperforms the Flyers’ on paper, and it’s shown through the first three games of this series.
Up the Person, Down the Goal
It’s no secret that the Flyers’ power play isn’t a strength. That was on display in Carolina, where the Flyers were hit oh-fer in Game 1 and managed just three combined shots on seven attempts in Game 2. The first of those went into the net, and Philadelphia applied pressure with a chance in overtime, but their work still has a lot to do.
That only grew on home ice in Game 3. The Flyers’ first inning was boring enough, but it would be the highlight of the next. On both their second and fourth chances, Jamie Drysdale hit a penalty while the Flyers were on the PP.
But the biggest mistake was Drysdale’s failure to put the puck in after winning a faceoff late in the second. That led to a Carolina run the other way, and Drysdale and Zegras’ attempt to switch coverages to avoid a 2-on-1 only opened up Jalen Chatfield to connect the ropes on a painful one.
In some ways, the Flyers had a good chance to turn things around in the near future. Drysdale’s second power-play penalty (third overall) looked like it would result in a 4-on-4, but Seth Jarvis was called on Travis Konecny’s dominant play as the game ended. Then, unsportsmanlike conduct on the Carolina bench opened a 75-second 5-on-3.
Even the switch to a front five unit, which produced Martone’s first career goal in the same situation late in the regular season, couldn’t solve the problems. Penetration was a big problem all night (Drysdale’s first penalty was for interference while trying to pick up the blue line, though it wasn’t a flashy play), and even when the Flyers were organized, their shots were only coming from the right spots and their passing games were productive.
Fans were upset that Carolina’s first shorthanded power play was a bit much, as Taylor Hall’s dangerous hit on a kneeling Travis Sanheim against the wall was a dangerous check. But even if the five-minute call had been authorized, there is little evidence to suggest the Flyers would have spent the money. Carolina scoring two power play goals, including a 4-on-3 playoff goal from Andrei Svechnikov, added more salt to the wound.
Sit or Stay in It
If you’re looking for one sliver of hope for the Flyers, their 5-on-5 performance over the past two games has sounded good. It’s not enough that it matters as much as it usually does in the playoffs.
Philadelphia has been shorthanded eight times Thursday, the most in a playoff game since the bracelet crash in Game 3 of the 2016 Eastern Conference quarterfinals. Somehow, the rings came off again in Game 3, which again put the Flyers in a 3-0 series hole, although they mercifully stayed on the court this time.
In the last two games combined, the Flyers have an expected 5-on-5 (xG) share of 45.75% (via Natural Stat Trick). That’s a significant improvement over their 38.42% mark in Game 1 and slightly better than their 44.44% in the regular season when they avoided losing control in all four meetings.
Some calls were debatable – they always are in the playoffs – but post-whistle penalties like Christian Dvorak’s late late second period foul won’t happen. Otherwise, the Flyers will only play four playoff games against the Canes, too.
What’s Next
It’s amazing that one Eastern Conference semifinal series hasn’t even started and the other is already over. But this is where things stand now, the Buffalo Sabers are winning 1-0 against the Montreal Canadiens, and the Hurricanes could close the series on Saturday at 6 pm before that series even changes places.
You could argue that it would be a good thing if Carolina pulled off back-to-back sweeps. If the Sabres-Canadiens series goes the distance, the Eastern Conference finals could start as early as May 20. That would be an 11-day layoff for Carolina if they finish things off in Game 4.
Flyers will try their best to avoid that. The last time the franchise was swept in the playoffs was the 1997 Stanley Cup Final by the Detroit Red Wings. They have played well enough in the last two games to believe that they can at least keep that footnote intact. But a Flyers team that has prided itself on defying the odds for the past two months appears to have finally encountered a mountain too steep to climb.
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